Thursday, October 12, 2023 by Laura Harris
As the 2024 presidential election approaches, political instability has already marked its backdrop. The ouster of Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) as House speaker and the gag order against former President Donald Trump during his civil fraud trial serve as examples of this.
But for Republican campaign staffer Myra Adams, these are just the tip of the iceberg.
In an Oct. 6 op-ed for The Hill, Adams enumerated several potential game-changing scenarios that could dramatically alter the course of the election campaign and even the election itself.
She mentioned that either one of the two nominated candidates from the major parties could face health issues, legal troubles, scandals, or even impeachment convictions – potentially leading to their withdrawal from the race. She cited two instances in the 1960s where unforeseen tragedies altered the course of presidential elections.
The 1963 assassination of President John F. Kennedy led to the rise of his successor President Lyndon B. Johnson, who was vice president at the time, to a landslide victory in the 1964 presidential election. Four years later, Johnson’s withdrawal paved the way for President Richard Nixon to become president – until his 1974 resignation due to the Watergate scandal.
Adams also mentioned that an attack on par with 9/11 could impact the election, alongside any attacks by domestic terrorists either in response to Trump’s incarceration or renomination. An international incident or escalation of an existing conflict that could require a U.S. military response could also play a role in the upcoming election.
Moreover, the GOP staffer also brought up the possibility of a prolonged and crippling cyberattack on critical infrastructure. The use of artificial intelligence (AI) to create convincing “deepfakes” as the election nears could sow confusion among voters, she added.
Adams also predicted that a third-party candidate entering the race and gaining substantial support – perhaps more than 20 percent – could introduce a new dynamic into the usual two-candidate race. The prospect isn’t impossible, as shown by various surveys.
One poll from Gallup found that 63 percent of American adults believe the U.S. already needs a third major political party due to the unsatisfying and poor performance of both the GOP and the Democratic Party. A separate poll by Monmouth University found that 52 percent of Republican respondents are “not at all enthusiastic” about Trump being the GOP nominee for 2024. Fifty-three percent of Democratic respondents in the Monmouth poll share the same sentiment about incumbent President Joe Biden.
This prediction by Adams came to fruition when Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) declared that he would run as an independent presidential candidate. He made the declaration during an Oct. 9 event in Philadelphia, following his repeated rebuke of the Democratic Party for rigging the primaries in favor of Biden. (Related: RFK Jr. to continue his presidential run as an INDEPENDENT candidate after ditching rigged DNC.)
“I’m here to declare myself an independent candidate for president of the United States,” RFK Jr. boldly proclaimed before a crowd of enthusiastic supporters. Prior to his announcement, the nephew of the late President John F. Kennedy had sat down with the chair of the Libertarian Party – sparking rumors of a potential third-party run. However, the talks with the Libertarian Party did not progress.
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